Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation / by Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov

By:

Miles, Ian D [aut]

Contributor(s):

Resource type: Ressourcentyp: Buch (Online)Book (Online)Language: English Series: Science, Technology and Innovation Studies | SpringerLink BücherPublisher: Cham ; s.l. : Springer International Publishing, 2016Description: Online-Ressource (XIII, 270 p. 85 illus., 51 illus. in color, online resource)ISBN:

9783319325743

Subject(s): Additional physical formats: 9783319325729 | Druckausg.: 978-3-319-32572-9 | Erscheint auch als: Foresight for science, technology and innovation. Druck-Ausgabe 1st edition. Switzerland : Springer, 2016. xiii, 270 SeitenRVK: RVK: QP 325LOC classification:

JF20-2112

DOI: DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-32574-3Online resources:

Summary: 1 Introduction -- 2 Foresight for STI - What and Why -- 3 Initiation-Scoping and Managing ForSTI -- 4 Interaction - Participation and Recruitment -- 5 Intelligence - Environmental and Horizon Scanning -- 6 Intelligence - Delphi -- 7 Imagination - Scenarios and Alternative Futures -- 8 Integration - Modelling -- 9 From Integration to Interpretation - Translating ForSTI into Strategies -- 10 Intervention and Impact - Outcomes, Action and Evaluation -- 11 Conclusion. .Summary: Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond “narrow” technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.PPN: PPN: 1658671600Package identifier: Produktsigel: ZDB-2-SEB | ZDB-2-SXEF | ZDB-2-ECF

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