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The plausibility of future scenarios : conceptualising an unexplored criterion in scenario planning / Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele

By: Contributor(s): Resource type: Ressourcentyp: Buch (Online)Book (Online)Language: English Series: Science studiesPublisher: Bielefeld : transcript, [2020]Copyright date: © 2020Description: 1 Online-Ressource : IllustrationenISBN:
  • 9783839453193
Subject(s): Genre/Form: Additional physical formats: 9783837653199 | Erscheint auch als: The plausibility of future scenarios. Druck-Ausgabe Bielefeld : transcript, 2020. 262 SeitenDDC classification:
  • 303.49
  • 658.401201 23
  • 300
RVK: RVK: QP 320Local classification: Lokale Notation: soz 2.23LOC classification:
  • HD30.28
DOI: DOI: 10.14361/9783839453193Online resources: Dissertation note: Dissertation - Universität Stuttgart Summary: Frontmatter -- Content -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- Summary of the book -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Scenario planning: characteristics and current issues -- 3 Scenario plausibility: emerging debates in research and practice -- 4 Conceptual explorations: plausibility across disciplines -- 5 Empirical research: Methodology to study scenario plausibility -- 6 Experimental study: quantitative research findings -- 7 Experimental study: qualitative research findings -- 8 Synthesis: A conceptual map of scenario plausibility -- 9 Conclusions and outlook -- Abbreviations -- Acknowledgments -- ReferencesSummary: What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundation remain unexplored in previous research.Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory, and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how plausibility assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario developmentPPN: PPN: 1726175340Package identifier: Produktsigel: EBA-CL-SN | EBA-EBKALL | EBA-ECL-SN | EBA-EEBKALL | EBA-ESSHALL | EBA-PPALL | EBA-SSHALL | GBV-deGruyter-alles | ZDB-23-DGG | ZDB-23-SEW | EBA-BACKALL | EBA-EBACKALL | ZDB-23-TGP
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