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Data analysis in forensic science : a Bayesian decision perspective / Franco Taroni ... [et al.]

Contributor(s): Resource type: Ressourcentyp: Buch (Online)Book (Online)Language: English Series: Statistics in PracticePublisher: Chichester : John Wiley and Sons, 2010Edition: Online-AusgDescription: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (xvii, 367 p.)) : illISBN:
  • 9781282548404
  • 1282548409
  • 9780470665077
Subject(s): Additional physical formats: 9780470998359 | 1282547526 | Druckausg.: 978-0-470-99835-9 MSC: MSC: *62-01 | 62-04 | 62-07 | 62P99 | 62C10LOC classification:
  • HV8073
Online resources: Summary: Intro -- Data Analysis in Forensic Science -- Contents -- Foreword -- Preface -- I The Foundations of Inference and Decision in Forensic Science -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 The Inevitability of Uncertainty -- 1.2 Desiderata in Evidential Assessment -- 1.3 The Importance of the Propositional Framework and the Nature of Evidential Assessment -- 1.4 From Desiderata to Applications -- 1.5 The Bayesian Core of Forensic Science -- 1.6 Structure of the Book -- 2 Scientific Reasoning and Decision Making -- 2.1 Coherent Reasoning Under Uncertainty -- 2.1.1 A rational betting policy -- 2.1.2 A rational policy for combining degrees of belief -- 2.1.3 A rational policy for changing degrees of belief -- 2.2 Coherent Decision Making Under Uncertainty -- 2.2.1 A method for measuring the value of consequences -- 2.2.2 The consequences of rational preferences -- 2.2.3 Intermezzo: some more thoughts about rational preferences -- 2.2.4 The implementation of coherent decision making under uncertainty: Bayesian networks -- 2.2.5 The connection between pragmatic and epistemic standards of reasoning -- 2.3 Scientific Reasoning as Coherent Decision Making -- 2.3.1 Bayes' theorem -- 2.3.2 The theories' race -- 2.3.3 Statistical reasoning: the models' race -- 2.3.4 Probabilistic model building: betting on random quantities -- 2.4 Forensic Reasoning as Coherent Decision Making -- 2.4.1 Likelihood ratios and the 'weight of evidence' -- 2.4.2 The expected value of information -- 2.4.3 The hypotheses' race in the law -- 3 Concepts of Statistical Science and Decision Theory -- 3.1 Random Variables and Distribution Functions -- 3.1.1 Univariate random variables -- 3.1.2 Measures of location and variability -- 3.1.3 Multiple random variables -- 3.2 Statistical Inference and Decision Theory -- 3.2.1 Utility theory -- 3.2.2 Maximizing expected utility -- 3.2.3 The loss function.PPN: PPN: 808847511Package identifier: Produktsigel: ZDB-26-MYL | ZDB-30-PAD | ZDB-30-PQE | BSZ-30-PQE-K1DLR
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