What Explains the Low Survival Rate of Developing Country Export Flows? / Brenton, Paul
Contributor(s): Resource type: Ressourcentyp: Buch (Online)Book (Online)Language: English Publisher: Washington, D.C : The World Bank, 2009Description: Online-Ressource (38 p)Additional physical formats: Brenton, Paul: What Explains the Low Survival Rate of Developing Country Export Flows? DOI: DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-4951Online resources: Summary: Successful export growth and diversification require not only entry into new export products and markets, but also the survival and growth of export flows. This paper uses a detailed, cross-country dataset of product level bilateral export flows to illustrate that exporting is an extremely perilous activity and especially so in low-income countries. The authors find that unobserved individual heterogeneity in product-level export flow data prevails despite controlling for a wide range of observed country and product characteristics. This questions previous studies that have used the Cox proportional hazards model to model export survival. The authors estimate a Prentice-Gloeckler model, amended with a gamma mixture distribution summarizing unobserved individual heterogeneity. The empirical results confirm the significance of a range of products as well as country-specific factors in determining the survival of export flows. From a policy perspective, an interesting finding is the importance of learning-by-doing for export survival: experience with exporting the same product to other markets or different products to the same market are found to strongly increase the chance of export survival. A better understanding of such learning effects could substantially improve the effectiveness of export promotion strategiesPPN: PPN: 834963310Package identifier: Produktsigel: ZDB-1-WBA | ZDB-110-WBLNo physical items for this record
Reproduktion, 2009. (World Bank eLibrary) |2009||||||||||