Piloting the use of network analysis and decision-making under uncertainty in transport operations : preparation and appraisal of a rural roads project in Mozambique under changing flood risk and other deep uncertainties / Xavier Espinet, Julie Rozenberg, Kulwinder Singh Rao, Satoshi Ogita
Contributor(s): Resource type: Ressourcentyp: Buch (Online)Book (Online)Language: English Series: World Bank E-Library Archive | Policy research working paper ; 8490Publisher: Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group, Finance, Sustainable Development Chief Economist Office & Transport and Digital Development Practice, June 2018Description: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten) : IllustrationenSubject(s): Genre/Form: Additional physical formats: Erscheint auch als: Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations: Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique Under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties. Druck-Ausgabe Washington, D.C : The World Bank, 2018DOI: DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-8490Online resources: Summary: This paper presents a methodology to identify key priority areas for transport investments. The methodology uses a geospatial data-driven approach and then proposes an innovative economic analysis for project appraisal. The two main steps involve (i) prioritization of road interventions based on a set of economic, social, and risk reduction criteria; and (ii) assessment of monetized and nonmonetized costs and benefits of road interventions under many scenarios covering the uncertainty on future risks and other factors. This methodology is used at different stages of project preparation for a rural roads lending operation to the Government of Mozambique. In the two regions of Mozambique considered, the analysis prioritizes regions along the coast when combining agriculture, fisheries, poverty, network criticality, and hazard risk criteria. With a limited budget of USD 15 million per district, the results show that investing in repairing and rehabilitating culverts and bridges is the intervention that performs better under most of the scenariosPPN: PPN: 1027353738Package identifier: Produktsigel: ZDB-1-WBA | ZDB-110-WBONo physical items for this record
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